Trevor Larnach has worked his way up the Twins’ batting order and become an influential hitter, and the secret to his success may lie in his performance against a pitch.
Image courtesy of Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports
Heading into the Minnesota Twins’ 2024 season, Trevor Larnach has emerged as an important piece of their offensive puzzle. Once considered a promising prospect, Larnach has made significant strides this year, particularly in his ability to handle certain throws and improve his shot discipline. These developments have made him not only a reliable presence in the lineup, but also an important part of the Twins’ long-term plans.
Mastering the cutter
One of the most notable improvements in Larnach’s game has been his ability to smash cutters. Pitchers have increasingly relied on cutters to disrupt hitters’ timing, and Larnach has made them pay for it. His approach against cutters has been aggressive but disciplined, showing his ability to recognize and attack those pitches early in the count. In 2022, Larnach posted a .250 BA, .333 SLG, and -2 run value when facing cutters. Over the past two seasons, he has significantly improved his ability to recognize cutters, so in 2024 he has an .879 SLG, 60% hard hit%, and +7 run value against that pitch.
This newfound ability has added another dimension to Larnach’s offensive game. In previous seasons, he struggled with throws digging into his hands, often resulting in weak contact or strikeouts. This season, however, there has been a marked change. Larnach’s stance adjustment and refined swing path have allowed him to get his hands into the ball and regularly hit cutters into gaps or over the fence. This adjustment has increased his power and made him a more consistent hitter, giving the Twins some much-needed momentum from the left side of the batting crease.
Improved plate discipline
In addition to his strength against cutters, Larnach’s improved batting discipline was another key factor in his breakout. In recent seasons, he chased slow pitches out of the zone, particularly by throwing balls down and away. This led to a high strikeout rate and limited his ability to get on base. In 2024, however, Larnach has made significant progress in avoiding these pitches, resulting in a more balanced and patient approach. His strikeout rate has dropped from 34.0% in 2023 to 21.9% this season.
The data shows his improvement: His chase rate on slow pitches has dropped significantly. Last season, he posted a whiff% of over 47.1% against breaking and slow pitches. In 2024, he has improved significantly against breaking pitches, with his whiff% dropping 14.3% (35.7%). Larnach’s ability to distinguish between pitches he can hit and those he should let go has not only improved his on-base percentage, but also forced pitchers to approach him more cautiously. His disciplined eye has put him in more favorable counts, allowing him to capitalize on mistakes and maintain a consistent level of production.
A cornerstone for the future
Larnach’s development has been a welcome sight for the Twins, who are looking to solidify their outfield for the long term. With his ability to play both the corner outfield positions and his growing offensive profile, Larnach is positioning himself as an above-average starter for the Twins. His left-handed hitting power complements a lineup that features a mix of experienced hitters and young talent, making him a versatile and valuable player.
Additionally, Larnach’s progress fits the Twins’ organizational philosophy of patience at bat and power. His ability to hit for both average and power, combined with his defensive skills, make him a versatile player who can contribute in many facets of the game. Larnach’s development is a blueprint for the development of the Twins’ young talent.
Larnach’s breakout season was a revelation for the Twins. His dominance against cutters and improved discipline against slow pitches have made him a formidable hitter and a key part of the Twins’ offense. As he continues to grow and adapt, Larnach is poised to be a central figure in the Twins’ lineup for years to come, embodying the team’s commitment to developing homegrown talent and building a competitive future.
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